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Buying the dip, more next week too

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380 views 14 replies 6 participants last post by  londoncalling  
#1 · (Edited)
XUS fell 2.3%, XQQ 3.5%, Nvidia 4%, and many oil and growth stocks equities fell 6-10% on Friday after China announced new rare earth export controls. This is not the end though apparently.

After the market closed, Donald Trump said the US would impose 100% tariffs on China starting Nov. 1 so we will likely see one or more legs down next week. When the VIX has huge spikes like the 18% on Friday, it also isn't usually a one day bounce. Expect more volatility as well for early days next week too.

Many good deals already on stocks and ETFs but there should be more selling at least for one more day next week, maybe more. Nice to have 5-10% dry powder in cash, ST bonds or equivalents to go bargain shopping! Exciting times and great opportunities to start or add to positions as well. Hopefully, like in April, they then resolve the issues where XUS bounced back 35%, NVDA 70%.
 
#4 ·
After hours trading was very quiet on Friday so maybe the market just shrugged at Trump's comments. Usually when the VIX goes really wild though there is aftershock volatility for a few days after. I was waiting for any kind of pullback after the straight rise since April.
 
#6 ·
People who are worried about this, really will have something to worry about when the AI bubble pops. But for now, the NVidea music is still playing... the party will continue until it doesn't.
 
#10 ·
The e-minis for the S&P 500 futures are not doing too bad for tonight (unfortunate for those who were hoping for a fire-sale). All day crypto was going through a continued melt-up, so the chances for boomers to buy-the-dip by Tuesday through an ETF looks greatly diminished (for now). Quite possibly, China will do a counter-tariff to keep that hope alive. But sadly, I have a large amount of dividends paying out this week. As ALWAYS HAPPENS, the market does another large melt-up just 24-48 hours before the cash settles in my trading account. lol.


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#12 ·
Nasdaq fell 3.5% on Friday, up about 2% today so a lower high. Usually there is not a full bounce back from these large drops the next day so suspect there could be a little more downside. Oil at $59 near the April low. Will likely add some oil this week at the least.
 
#13 ·
Strong bounce today. Canadian markets were closed, but due to EWC trading, we basically know that the TSX was also up about 1.5% today

This could shape up to become one of the strongest years in stocks, in recent history. And yes, back-to-back with 2024.

Also, a new record high in gold. Currently trading above $4100.
 
#14 ·
This could shape up to become one of the strongest years in stocks
As long as the AI frenzy continues to hold... that 'could' be possible.

Keep in mind there was 19 billion wiped out from the crypto markets on Friday (confirmed). With the 100% tariff news coming out just after 4 pm, this meant the crypto markets around the world had to take the full brunt of the panic alone while equities/bonds were in protected lockdown. How much (unknown) liquidations, we don't know. But a lot of big players, including market makers blew up on margin, or took severe hits. 'Jump' alone reportedly took a 10%-20% hit, which would mean around a billion right there.

There could be some large contagion that comes around again.